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AI agent reliability benchmarks, tracked

How reliably the best AI agents succeed when it counts, in plain language: success on every try, the length of task they can handle, and realistic office work. From the official leaderboards, updated when they change.

Photo: Austris Augusts / Unsplash

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    A benchmark is a standard test that every AI model takes under the same conditions, so results can be compared. Most benchmarks report how often a model succeeds at a task once. That is what a demo shows. Production needs more: the agent has to succeed every time, on tasks of realistic length, in work that looks like a real job.

    This tracker follows four public benchmarks that measure exactly that, explains each in plain language, and keeps their latest results. Terms are explained in the glossary at the end. I update it when the official leaderboards change.

    As of 27 October 2026: on the newest customer-service test, banking support with a library of about 700 documents to search, the best model solves 55% of tasks on one try and 35% on four tries in a row. Four times out of five, the best measured model finishes software tasks that take a person about three hours, and every model fails more often as tasks get longer. In a simulated software company, the best checked agent completes about a third of realistic office tasks. The newest models, Claude Opus 5.5, GPT-6 Astra, GPT-6.1 Sol and Gemini 4 Argon, are so far measured independently only on AutomationBench: they complete about nine in ten objectives of business workflows, but broken rules cost them 16 to 24 points of score.

    1. τ-bench: does the agent succeed every time?

    What it measures. Sierra's τ-bench puts an agent in a simulated customer-service job, for example handling returns for an online shop or changing flight bookings, with tools and company policies it has to follow (Yao et al. 2024). A simulated customer talks to the agent. Each task is run several times, and pass^k is the share of tasks the agent gets right on all k tries, not just one. The newest version, τ³-Banking, adds a knowledge base of about 700 documents the agent has to search before it can answer, which makes it much harder; it is the only version with results for models released after February 2026 (leaderboard).

    τ³-Banking: share of tasks solved on every one of k tries

    Tasks solved on every try

    25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%

    Number of tries that must all succeed

    Banking customer service with a 700-document knowledge base. Read along a line: Claude Opus 5 solves 48.7% of tasks on one try, but only 32.0% on four tries in a row. The four best models, all released in July 2026, under the same test conditions run by Sierra.

    Source: τ-bench leaderboard (Sierra), τ³-Banking, standard setup, as of 27 October 2026

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    Show the data
    kQwen 3.8 MaxClaude Opus 5Grok 4.5GPT-5.6-sol
    155.248.747.946.9
    245.239.239.537.3
    339.734.535.332.0
    435.132.032.027.8

    Artificial Analysis also runs τ³-Banking independently, five times per task, but reports only the single-try result, with its own setup, so its numbers do not compare with Sierra's: GPT-6 Astra solved 41.4% of tasks; Claude Opus 5.5 has no result there yet (Artificial Analysis).

    What it means. The best model goes from 55% on one try to 35% when all four tries must succeed. If customers repeat the same kind of request every day, the four-try number is the one to plan with.

    The older τ²-bench domains, an online shop and airline bookings, are easier, and show the same drop from one try to four in a row:

    τ²-bench online shop: tasks solved on one try and on four in a row

    Qwen3.5-397B84.4% (best)59.7% (best)
    GPT-5.281.6%51.8%
    Claude Opus 4.579.6%51.8%

    Source: τ-bench leaderboard (Sierra), τ²-bench v1.0.1, standard setup, runs from February to May 2026

    Download the data (CSV)

    τ²-bench airline bookings: tasks solved on one try and on four in a row

    GPT-5.283.0%72.0% (best)
    Claude Opus 4.584.0% (best)70.0%
    Qwen3.5-397B81.5%68.0%

    These domains have results only for models released up to February 2026. Two and three tries in a row are on the leaderboard. Compare models within a domain, not across.

    Source: τ-bench leaderboard (Sierra), τ²-bench v1.0.1, standard setup, runs from February to May 2026

    Download the data (CSV)

    2. METR: how long a task can an agent handle?

    What it measures. METR gives agents software and research tasks of very different length, timed by how long a skilled person needs for each, from a few seconds to many hours (METR time horizons; method in Kwa et al.). A model's time horizon is the length of task it completes with a given success rate. The gap between the 50% and the 80% horizon shows how fast reliability falls as tasks get longer.

    Task length agents complete half the time and four times out of five

    Claude Mythos Preview (early)
    Claude Opus 4.6
    Gemini 3.1 Pro
    GPT-5.4
    Claude Opus 4.5
    o3
    Claude 3.7 Sonnet

    Minutes a skilled person needs for the task

    Read a pair of bars: Claude Opus 4.6 succeeds half the time on tasks that take a person about 12 hours, but four times out of five only on tasks of about 70 minutes. Each estimate has a wide margin of error, and METR calls results above 16 hours unreliable, which covers the 50% figure for Claude Mythos Preview (about 17 hours).

    Source: METR, Time horizons of frontier AI models (Time Horizon 1.1), last updated 8 September 2026

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    model50% success80% success
    Claude Mythos Preview (early)1045186
    Claude Opus 4.671970
    Gemini 3.1 Pro38490
    GPT-5.434254
    Claude Opus 4.529349
    o312030
    Claude 3.7 Sonnet6012

    What it means. Agents can now attempt surprisingly long tasks, but if you need them to succeed reliably, plan with the 80% figure, which is four to ten times shorter in these measurements. The newest model METR measured was released in April 2026, and METR says the page is no longer actively updated; models released since then have no time horizon yet.

    3. TheAgentCompany: can an agent do a real job?

    What it measures. TheAgentCompany is a simulated small software company with 175 tasks across engineering, project management, finance and HR, done through the same tools employees use: a code repository, chat, documents (Xu et al.). A task counts only if every step of it is done right. These are results checked by the authors, in the standard setup (leaderboard):

    TheAgentCompany: share of tasks fully completed

    OpenHands-Versa + Claude Sonnet 4
    33.1%
    OpenHands-Versa + Claude 3.7 Sonnet
    30.9%
    OpenHands + Gemini 2.5 Pro
    30.3%
    OpenHands + Claude 3.7 Sonnet
    26.3%
    OpenHands + Claude 3.5 Sonnet
    24.0%
    OpenHands + GPT-4o
    8.6%

    Tasks fully completed

    Two entries with higher scores (43% and 41%) used a different simulated environment and are not comparable. The leaderboard has had no new checked entries since November 2025, so no 2026 model appears here.

    Source: TheAgentCompany leaderboard (Carnegie Mellon University)

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    agentTasks fully completed
    OpenHands-Versa + Claude Sonnet 433.1
    OpenHands-Versa + Claude 3.7 Sonnet30.9
    OpenHands + Gemini 2.5 Pro30.3
    OpenHands + Claude 3.7 Sonnet26.3
    OpenHands + Claude 3.5 Sonnet24.0
    OpenHands + GPT-4o8.6

    What it means. Mixed office work, with many steps and several tools, is still mostly beyond agents working alone. Narrow, well-defined tasks with checks are where they deliver today.

    4. AutomationBench: does the agent follow the rules?

    What it measures. AutomationBench, built by Zapier, gives agents 657 business tasks across sales, marketing, operations, support, finance and HR, done through simulated apps such as Gmail, Salesforce, Slack, Jira and Zendesk (Shepard and Salimans). Each task has objectives, and guardrails: conditions that must still hold at the end, such as other customers' records left untouched. Artificial Analysis runs it independently on new models, once per task, and scores each task as the share of objectives completed, set to zero if the agent broke a guardrail (Artificial Analysis; methodology).

    AutomationBench: objectives completed, and the score once rule breaks count

    Gemini 4 Argon
    Claude Sonnet 5.5
    Claude Opus 5.5
    GPT-6 Astra
    GPT-6.1 Sol
    Claude Fable 5.1

    Share of task objectives

    Read a pair of bars: Claude Opus 5.5 completes 90.4% of the objectives, but scores 69.5% once tasks where it broke a rule count as zero. Broken rules per task range from 0.31 (Gemini 4 Argon) to 0.71 (Claude Fable 5.1); 0.42 for Opus 5.5 and 0.44 for GPT-6 Astra. Models released September 2026, at the highest reasoning setting Artificial Analysis lists (high for Gemini), one run per task.

    Source: Artificial Analysis, AutomationBench-AA, accessed 27 October 2026

    Download the data (CSV)

    Show the data
    modelObjectives completedScore when a broken rule zeroes the task
    Gemini 4 Argon93.577.5
    Claude Sonnet 5.591.071.8
    Claude Opus 5.590.469.5
    GPT-6 Astra88.868.5
    GPT-6.1 Sol88.464.9
    Claude Fable 5.188.159.4

    What it means. The newest models do most of the work in a business workflow, and the gap that remains is mostly rule-breaking rather than unfinished steps. For an agent that touches customer or financial records, the guardrail number matters more than the completion number, and it is what your own tests should check. Each task runs once here, so this measures rule-following, not repeatability. Scoped access limits what a broken rule can do: see how AI agents should authenticate and get delegated access.

    How to use these numbers

    • Plan with the strict number. Use the four-try result or the 80% horizon, not the best single run.
    • Treat benchmarks as a ceiling for expectations. These are simulations; your tools, data and users will differ.
    • Measure on your own tasks. Build a small set of real tasks and run each several times, as described in Agentic AI from demo to production.
    • Fix the tools before blaming the model. Accuracy falls as the tool list grows; how to keep tools few, safe and testable is in MCP tool design best practices.

    Glossary

    Benchmark terms in plain language

    BenchmarkA standard test that every model takes under the same conditions
    AgentAn AI model that takes actions with tools, not only answers questions
    pass^kThe share of tasks an agent solves on every one of k tries
    pass@kThe share of tasks it solves on at least one of k tries; flattering, and not what production needs
    Simulated userAnother AI model playing the customer, so every agent faces the same conversation
    Time horizonThe length of task, in a skilled person's working time, that a model completes with a given success rate
    LeaderboardThe benchmark owner's official table of results
    GuardrailA condition that holds at the start of a task and must still hold at the end, such as other customers' records left unchanged

    Download the data (CSV)

    Changelog

    • 27 October 2026. First version: τ³-Banking (models released up to July 2026) and τ²-bench, METR Time Horizon 1.1 (models released up to April 2026), TheAgentCompany checked results, and AutomationBench from Artificial Analysis for the models released in September 2026 (Claude Opus 5.5, GPT-6 Astra, GPT-6.1 Sol, Gemini 4 Argon), with a glossary.

    Sources

    How to cite

    Ivan Bardak. "AI agent reliability benchmarks, tracked". bardak.ai, updated October 29, 2026. https://bardak.ai/posts/ai-agent-reliability-benchmarks

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